Dr. Samura Kamara will lose the June 24 general election, according to a former APC flag bearer.

 

By Eddie Turay

Since the alleged APC convention, a lot of individuals have questioned my decision to stay quiet. My response is uncomplicated: Ernest Koroma's staging of the entire conference damaged the chances of the APC winning the upcoming election. In an effort to avoid upsetting my allies and those who genuinely support Samura Kamara's bid for the presidency of Sierra Leone, I tried to avoid giving an answer. I regret to say that I disagree with you on this point. I'm sorry to let you down, but the reality is that I have a solid track record when it comes to having a political stance and forecasting elections. When I declare my stance on related subjects, I hardly ever forget to do so. My strategy is straightforward: I conduct my study, look for empirical data, and remove my emotions out of the picture. Gentlemen, whether you like it or not, I'll be correct once again this time. Just as I was correct in 2018, when Ernest Koroma hand-picked Samura Kamara by himself

I was adamant that Samura Kamara would lose the 2018 election.

In the upcoming election, I predict that President Julius Maada Bio will win re-election. I'll list three (3) reasons in this essay as to why I believe Samura Kamara will lose the upcoming election.

(1) We can argue about many things, but it's impossible to argue against facts and statistics. I hear people say that if Samura Kamara loses the election, it'll be because the SLPP will rig or buy the electorate. I beg to disagree. Samurai Kamara will surely lose these presidential elections in 2023, not because of any conspiracies but because of simple statistics and facts. In fact, he has already lost it. As much as I don't wish to break the hearts of those believing in miracles, I tell you that politics is not about miracles; it is about facts and statistics. Both facts and statistics are not on the side of Samura Kamara unfortunately.    So let's talk facts and statistics now. The voter registration figures tell us that the South, East, and Western Rural increased their number of registered voters in 2022, while the number of registered voters decreased in the Northwest. This should give you the signal that Samurai Kamara needs like 40% of the vote in the South East, 90% of the vote in the Western Area, and over 80% of the total vote in the North, which is impossible. Even if the election ends in a runoff, APC will still lose. The numbers and projections are against us. Just look at the move President Bio is making in the south-east, where all influencers and policymakers in the APC are declaring support for the SLPP. The SLPP stronghold is safe for them while they keep penetrating in the north. Can my comrades explain to me, with these facts and statistics, how we can win the election? Note: Southeast people don't vote based on the cost of rice but because SLPP is part of their culture and beliefs.

(2) As a representative of the APC, I would like to say that people like Adebayor, Gibril Bangura, and the other mouthpieces of the party who have been aggressively insulting and abusing South Easterners, including Samura Kamara, never condemn such acts but instead join him and his boys in saying the same things in Makeni and other forums. Samurai Kamara should first repent for our party's treatment of those from the south and east. Instead, he was frequently seen defending his lads' wrongdoings against the south and east. How can someone who has a good conscience back Adebayor while expressing regret to the South-East? You cannot remain silent about the deterioration of southern tribes for years and expect them to vote for you.

Whether we like it or not, the bulk of votes in Sierra Leone are still controlled by the South East, and without their votes, no one can become the country's president. Samura Kamara needs to make a stronger effort to forge a connection with the South East since those votes will go virtually exclusively to the SLPP.

(3) Ernest Koroma's attempt to employ his 99 APC nasty tricks through duplicitous diplomat was unsuccessful. There have been numerous rumors that Koroma paid certain dishonest diplomats to sway the ECSL in the APC's favor, but the scheme hasn't worked out. He didn't realize that President Bio was far ahead of him and already knew he is giving millions of dollars to a diplomat in Sierra Leone via an offshore account. I've come to the conclusion that President Bio is going to win. This is the depressing truth for my dear APC buddies.