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"The Registration Data favours us" APC claims

APC operatives conducted a shady analysis of the ECSL's recently released registration data. The claimed that the ECSL purposefully removed approximately 257,000 people from the list, and that despite this, registration figures still favor them by approximately 600,000.
In my sad mood, I burst out laughing when I saw the analysis. I told myself that these people would never be able to stop deceiving themselves.

The ECSL stated unequivocally that the data in question (257123) is duplicated. That is, data that was entered into the system multiple times. The claimed 600,000 leading difference in favor of the APC must have come from a kush consumer with Ye Dominion Ye qualification. That writer simply added figures from North and Northwest to the number of Western Areas without taking into account the necessary determinants.

The APC has a clear majority in the western area, but when considering the realistic percentage (70% win) that determines a stronghold, the Western Area is never an APC stronghold. The APC needs more than 75% of the total votes in the Western area to overcome the SLPP's stronghold advantage. In practice, the APC has never received the aforementioned percentage in the Western Area's electoral history.
Finally, using the 70% thresholds to determine a stronghold, the SLPP stronghold will lead by 300,000 in this most recent registration data, which outnumbers the 250,000 figures from 2018. If these data continue to move in these patterns and the SLPP remains united, never repeating the Charles Margai and Berewa incident that sparked the formation of PMDC, the SLPP will not only win 2023 with a landslide, but also 2028... And the SLPP will keep winning.


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