By: Analytical writing August 31st 2022 The Slpp strongholds of South east and the Apc semi strongholds of North west are going to see an equilibrium interms of registration figures. That means, almost equal strength in registration numbers.Maybe the North West including Freetown, will be slightly ahead with a few percentages. What does this equilibrium mean?It means Apc has lost the elections. E lek North West register to maximum, it is still not a guarantee that Apc will win. This pattern of registration and voting was what exactly played out in 2018. The problem here for Apc is they have failed in the area of national reach. They have little or no presence in two regions. While the Slpp has voting strength everywhere. Let give a hypothetical 2023 voting result and you do the math.We do 4 districts. Kailahun(Slpp 90% ,Apc 10%) Pujehun(Slpp 90% ,Apc 10%) Koinadugu(Apc 63% Slpp 37%) Kambia(Apc 67% ,Slpp 33%) This is the exact pattern the 2023 election is